Posted on 12 Feb 2025
Tags: O&G Reporter's Desk
The International Energy Agency (IEA) at India Energy Week 2025 today released its comprehensive India
Gas Market Report, revealing that India's natural gas sector has reached an
inflection point. The report projects India's natural gas consumption to
increase by nearly 60% to reach 103 billion cubic meters (bcm) per year by
2030, positioning the country's consumption levels comparable to present-day
Saudi Arabia.
According to the report, this substantial
growth trajectory is supported by three major trends: the rapid expansion of
India's gas infrastructure, a rebound in domestic natural gas production, and
an expected easing of global gas market conditions. The report emphasizes that
supportive government policies have created a favorable environment for
increased natural gas consumption through 2030.
The city gas distribution (CGD) sector is
poised to lead this expansion, driven by the rapid growth of compressed natural
gas (CNG) infrastructure and the cost advantage of gas over liquid fuels for
small industrial users. Heavy industries, including iron and steel
manufacturing, are projected to add around 15 bcm annually to the demand, while
gas use in oil refining is expected to increase by more than 4 bcm annually as
more refineries connect to the grid.
The IEA report indicates that with
targeted strategies and additional policy support, India's gas consumption
could potentially reach 120 bcm annually by 2030, approaching the current
consumption levels of South America. This accelerated scenario would involve
higher utilization of gas-fired power plants, faster adoption of LNG in
heavy-duty transport, and more rapid expansion of CGD infrastructure.
While domestic gas production, which met
50% of demand in 2023, is expected to grow moderately through 2030, LNG imports
are projected to more than double during this period, reaching 64 bcm annually
by 2030. This positions India to remain the fourth-largest LNG importer
globally, highlighting the country's growing significance in the global gas
market.
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